Season Investments

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No Longer Niche

I started my professional career working at a large utility company in California. Fifteen years ago when I worked on RFPs to procure new long-term power purchase agreements, renewable energy was a very niche industry that was heavily reliant on government subsidizes and mandates. But today, the story is entirely different. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/no-longer-niche/

Is Cash Really Trash?

During volatility, upward trending markets, the old investment adage of “cash is trash” definitely holds true. But 2018 has ushered in a shift in the volatility landscape. The wild swings in the market are understandably making investors nervous, and some clients have ask us about whether or not MarketVANE is prompting us to reduce our exposure to stocks. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/is-cash-really-trash/

Where Do We Go From Here?

October has been a month that most stock market investors would rather forget. At one point last week, all three major US stock market indices had given up all their year to date returns. The pickup in volatility and pull-back from the recent high has everyone asking where the market is going from here. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/where-do-we-go-from-here/

Amateur or Professional?

The other week I came across an article on what is quickly becoming my favorite blog entitled The Difference Between Amateurs and Professionals. The post outlines at least two dozen differences in the way amateurs versus professionals think and act. In this week’s post we are going to highlight some of the key differences between amateurs and professionals. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/amateur-or-professional/

The Perils of Low Volatility

Super accommodative monetary policy has been necessary to spur economic recovery and ensure markets don’t fall into a deflationary spiral. But these same policies which have kept interest rates at record lows for so long are creating vulnerabilities in the economy as debt levels continue to rise. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/the-perils-of-low-volatility/

Sleeping Well

Since we can’t predict the future with any level of confidence, we chose to take a more humble approach to investing which spreads risk across as many different, non-correlated investments as possible as well as using trend following techniques to provide some downside protection on our publicly traded investments. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/sleeping-well/

Fear Of Missing Out

Since the economy and markets climbed their way out of the dredges of the financial crisis there has been an exhausting volume of work produced warning of the next major market collapse. But what about the risk of consistently rising prices? What kinds of psychological and emotional impacts do stock prices have when they just won’t quit? http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/fear-of-missing-out/

The Private Equity Advantage

Over the past year, we have spent a good amount of time researching different options for our clients in the private equity space. In today’s post, we will look at private equity from a very high level to explain what it is exactly and why it might be a good addition to a well-diversified portfolio. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/the-private-equity-advantage/

Not Just Lip Service

Last week we wrote about how fees and expenses have been driven lower across our industry. Firms are being forced to consider how they get paid and what value they truly provide, which is, of course, a fantastic thing for consumers. But not all fees are created equal, and there are some costs that are still worth incurring. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/not-just-lip-service/

The Economics of Loss

Our obsession with insulating our client portfolios from the risk of a significant drawdown permeates every aspect of our investment approach. Growing capital over time is about striking an appropriate balance between preserving capital in turbulent times and capturing growth in good times. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/the-economics-of-loss/

A Subtle Difference

Sometimes we get asked the question of whether “trend following is a form of market timing.” In this week’s post we will explore this question and unpack why there are subtle, yet very import differences between a trend following investment discipline and a market timing strategy. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/a-subtle-difference/

Beach Balls Under Water

Since the election, investors have been scrambling to understand what a Trump presidency might mean for future of financial markets. Global asset prices had all but priced in a Clinton victory, and the chaos that ensued in futures markets as Trump’s victory took shape throughout the evening reflected a sense of confusion over how to interpret the results. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/beach-balls-under-water/

The Dennis Rodman Effect

Dennis Rodman was a game changing player on the basketball court even though he was sub-par (at best) when it came to scoring. One could argue that the Pistons went from being a good basketball team to a championship team with his addition. Sometimes the whole is greater than the sum of the parts. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/the-dennis-rodman-effect/

Bonds in Bondage

Bonds are an asset class that we have been giving a lot of thought to lately. Bonds are in bondage to the low rates created by loose monetary policy, and the question of what to do about it is one of the more frequent ones we field in client meetings. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/bonds-in-bondage/

All Together Now

Last Friday we caught a glimpse of the extent to which financial markets are still addicted to monetary stimulus when stocks, bonds and commodities all tumbled in response to comments made by Fed officials. When everything is grinding upward, moving All Together Now is not a problem, but that sentiment changes quickly when asset classes begin to nosedive in tandem. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/all-together-now/

A Royal Divorce

Last week’s referendum vote in the UK was the culmination of a debate that has been raging for several years on whether Britain should be part of the European Union. The vote in favor of a Brexit sent shock waves throughout the global financial markets which were by and large pricing in a "Remain" outcome. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/a-royal-divorce/

Mount Everest of Finance

Earlier this month more than 170,000 people in 91 countries worldwide sat for one of the three levels of the CFA exam. As a firm with both principals holding the CFA designation we are often asked about the credential, so in today’s post we will take a more in depth look at the designation. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/mount-everest-of-finance/

The Right Stuff

Charlie Munger is unarguably one of the most well-respected and successful investors of our time. With wit and wisdom that are second to none, and a straight shooter style of communication, he is one of the most carefully studied and oft-quoted personalities in our industry. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/the-right-stuff/

Preparedness

It is in the midst of economic and financial market turmoil that investors typical make their biggest mistakes, so by preparing ahead of time for those environments we can mitigate the risk of the regret-driven decisions that would cause major setbacks to our clients’ long-term objectives. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/preparedness/

The Great Lie

We have dedicated countless hours of schooling and self-study to the body of academic knowledge pertaining to investment management. A significant portion of which was focused on how buying and holding financial assets for the long-term is the best investment strategy. While we don’t disagree with this line of thought, we think its limitations need to be better understood. http://www.seasoninvestments.com/insights/the-great-lie/

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