After a six year slide which began in 2006, the US residential housing market is back from the dead in a serious way. The Case-Shiller 20 City Composite Home Price Index is up over 13% for the 12 months ending in April of this year. The question then becomes whether or not the current recovery in housing prices is sustainable.
This month’s piece will focus on the market’s response to Bernanke’s mid-month press conference, the deceleration in several economic data points during the month, and the recent liquidity squeeze in the Chinese banking system.
When the New York Times first affixed the words “Taper Tantrum” to a video released last week, they likely had no idea how appropriate the phrase would be for what would ensue in the financial markets over the next several days. Neither did we, or anyone else we know of for that matter.
There has been much speculation as to what has caused the recent rise in interest rates. The general consensus is that the market is anticipating a change in the Federal Reserve’s latest QE program, but what will it take for interest rates to continually rise from here?
Jeremy Grantham is one of the better known value investors in finance today. His long successful track record, bold forecasts, and firm belief that all things revert to the mean has set him apart from the rest of the pack, which is why we have decided to make his Benchmark-Free Allocation strategy a core holding in our Absolute Return bucket.
In our Monthly Macro, we highlight the global themes that we believe are the most important and discuss why they matter for investors. This month’s piece will focus on the US recovery, speculation about Fed tapering, the improving federal deficit and a shift in Germany’s stance on austerity.
Like all multi-national companies, Apple earns a large amount of money from their overseas operations. If they decide to bring those profits back to the US they are required to pay the 35% corporate tax rate to repatriate those funds. Apple is not the first company to use legal accounting strategies to minimize their tax bill, and they won’t be last.
In an era of policy-driven capital markets it’s essential to stay in tune with and even anticipate major policy shifts before they are yesterday’s news. The labor force participation rate is one of the key economic data points that will have an impact on Fed policy in the coming quarters.
HFT is an algorithmic (computer based) trading approach that tries to make a very small profit over an extremely short period of time. Most HFT trading is done by market participants trying to skim fractions of pennies off of millions of transactions each and every day.
In this month’s Monthly Macro piece we look at green shoots in the US, the changing attitude towards austerity in Europe, the pending questions surrounding China’s economy and the latest round of monetary madness courtesy of the Bank of Japan.
Coach is a brand best known here in the US for their leather accessories. The primary risks to the company’s future are the same as its opportunities as it now looks to expand its reach beyond the US and other developed markets into higher growing emerging markets.